Análisis de Emparejamiento Óptimo: aplicaciones novedosas en la intersección entre la demografía y los estudios de cambio climático
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Palavras-chave

Análisis de Emparejamiento Óptimo
Análisis de Historia de Eventos
Curso de vida
Demografía
cambio climatico
Vulnerabilidad Social
Adaptación

Como Citar

Sánchez Guijosa, K. A., Murray Tortarolo, G. N., & Martínez Salgado, M. (2026). Análisis de Emparejamiento Óptimo: aplicaciones novedosas en la intersección entre la demografía y los estudios de cambio climático: OMA en la investigación demográfica y climática. evista atinoamericana e Población, 20, e202603. https://doi.org/10.31406/relap2026.v20.e202603

Resumo

El cambio climático reconfigura los ecosistemas, las economías y las trayectorias de vida, pero la investigación rara vez captura su carácter dinámico y procesual. Este artículo presenta una revisión conceptual y metodológica orientada a sintetizar y discutir el potencial del Análisis de Emparejamiento Óptimo (OMA por sus siglas en inglés: Optimal Matching Analysis) para el estudio de respuestas demográficas al cambio climático desde una perspectiva temporal. A partir del análisis de las aplicaciones del OMA en demografía y estudios ambientales, se pudo observar que esta técnica permite identificar grupos socialmente vulnerables, integrar dimensiones temporales y espaciales en el análisis de la adaptación y vincular trayectorias de vida con variabilidad climática. Asimismo, evidencia su utilidad para analizar procesos de movilidad, cambio de uso de suelo y salud en contextos de riesgo. Se concluye que el OMA constituye un marco analítico innovador para avanzar en investigaciones interdisciplinarias y para transitar de enfoques reactivos hacia mecanismos sociales, políticos y económicos orientados a la anticipación y la preparación frente a los impactos climáticos.

https://doi.org/10.31406/relap2026.v20.e202603
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Direitos de Autor (c) 2026 Karla Arlae Sánchez Guijosa, Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Martínez Salgado